Why do banks not like high interest rates?
Besides loans, banks also invest in bonds and other debt securities, which lose value when interest rates rise. Banks may be forced to sell these at a loss if faced with sudden deposit withdrawals or other funding pressures. The failure of Silicon Valley Bank was a dramatic example of this bond-loss channel.
Many banks will lose significant amounts of equity capital in a scenario where high inflation and high interest rates prevail and the global economy tips into recession, as we explore in a forthcoming GFSR chapter.
Assuming a uniform mortgage lending rate of 6.96% and 0.42% paid to depositors, financial institutions raked in a staggering gross profit of almost $180 billion. The less they pay in interest, the more profit they can make, so it makes sense for them to keep rates as low as possible.
The financial sector has historically been among the most sensitive to changes in interest rates. With profit margins that actually expand as rates climb, entities like banks, insurance companies, brokerage firms, and money managers generally benefit from higher interest rates.
Higher interest rates have gotten a bad rap, but over the long term, they may provide more income for savers and help investors allocate capital more efficiently. In a higher-rate environment, equity investors can seek opportunities in value-oriented and defensive sectors as well as international stocks.
Rising rates are a risk for banks, even though many benefit by collecting higher interest rates from borrowers while keeping deposit rates low. Loan losses may also increase as both consumers and businesses now face higher borrowing costs—especially if they lose jobs or business revenues.
Interest rates and bank profitability are connected, with banks benefiting from higher interest rates. When interest rates are higher, banks make more money by taking advantage of the greater spread between the interest they pay to their customers and the profits they earn by investing.
- First Republic Bank (FRC) . Above average liquidity risk and high capital risk.
- Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) . Above average capital risk.
- KeyCorp (KEY) . Above average capital risk.
- Comerica (CMA) . ...
- Truist Financial (TFC) . ...
- Cullen/Frost Bankers (CFR) . ...
- Zions Bancorporation (ZION) .
The rise in rates since the Fed's first post-Covid boost to the Fed funds rate in March 2022 had left banks with trillions of dollars of bonds written at lower rates before last year, whose value fell as rates rose. That opened precarious holes in the balance sheets of some banks, and fatal ones for banks that failed.
Here's the latest... Loan losses are rising again at banks after reaching historically low levels. Lenders reported $19 billion in charge-offs — losses on loans that lenders deem unrecoverable — in the second quarter, the highest level in more than three years.
Who benefits from low interest rates?
Low interest rates mean more spending money in consumers' pockets. That also means they may be willing to make larger purchases and will borrow more, which spurs demand for household goods. This is an added benefit to financial institutions because banks are able to lend more.
Bank | APY* | Our take |
---|---|---|
Milli | 5.50% | Best overall |
SoFi Checking & Savings | 4.60% | Best for maximizing your savings Best for those who value flexibility |
UFB Direct | 5.25% | Best for those who value convenience |
FNBO Direct | 4.75% | Best for those who want extra security features |
But when the short-term rates the Fed pays rise sufficiently to make its interest expenses greater than its interest earnings, the Fed loses money. It stops sending interest earnings to the Treasury.
Central banks raise or lower short-term interest rates to ensure stability and liquidity in the economy.
When the central bank increases interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive. In this environment, both consumers and businesses might think twice about taking out loans for major purchases or investments. This slows down spending, typically lowering overall demand and hopefully reducing inflation.
Higher interest rates typically slow down the economy since it costs more for consumers and businesses to borrow money. But while higher interest rates can make it more expensive to borrow and could hamper overall economic growth, there are also some benefits.
Lower interest rates also increase demand for credit which supports bank profits. Stronger credit growth and refinancing activity (which typically increases when interest rates fall) also increases banks' fee income.
Mortgage rates are expected to decline when Federal Reserve policymakers cut the benchmark interest rate, which is likely to happen in the second half of 2024. But as long as inflation runs hotter than the Fed would like, rates will remain elevated at their current levels.
High-yield savings accounts may not make you rich, but you'll automatically earn much more than you would with a lower rate option. Use a savings calculator to determine what your bank balance can be with different APYs and see how your money could grow.
While rising interest rates give banks opportunities to increase earnings by pushing up rates charged on loans, they also could increase the cost of liabilities and decrease the value of investment securities held as assets.
What are three ways banks make money?
They earn interest on the securities they hold. They earn fees for customer services, such as checking accounts, financial counseling, loan servicing and the sales of other financial products (e.g., insurance and mutual funds).
Recently, a report posted on the Social Science Research Network found that 186 banks in the United States are at risk of failure or collapse due to rising interest rates and a high proportion of uninsured deposits.
- Wells Fargo. BBB customer review rating: 1.06/5. ...
- Credit One. BBB customer review rating: 1.11/5. ...
- Bank of America. BBB customer review rating: 1.06/5. ...
- Chase Bank. BBB customer review rating: 1.1 / 5. ...
- US Bank. BBB customer review rating: 1.1 / 5.
Bank | Forbes Advisor Rating | ATM Network |
---|---|---|
Chase Bank | 5.0 | 15,000+ Chase ATMs |
Bank of America | 4.2 | 16,000+ ATMs in the U.S. |
Wells Fargo Bank | 4.0 | 11,000 |
Citi® | 4.0 | 65,000 |
There is a systemic risk of large-scale bank failures in the U.S. in 2024 due to charge-offs and write-downs emanating from the commercial real estate sector.